Sunday, June 24, 2012

Morsi's Win: Cloudy with a Chance of Thunderstorms


Didn't vote in the second round of the elections. Couldn't vote for the Muslim Brotherhood candidate or a Mubarak man. However, Mr. Morsi is Egypt's new president and I accept the reality on the ground. It sucks but definitely better than having Shafik, at least a civilian. Saying that, any crap like "we should all stand behind Morsi now" is just that, crap. Seculars should be in the opposition fighting hard to bring a secular to the presidency and seculars to the parliament. 

Mr. Morsi and his advisors (aka the real decision makers from the MB) will have a rough time creating jobs and fixing the economy. The MB lost many fans based on their performance in the parliament, I expect them to lose even more with Mr. Morsi in the presidency. Today is the MB's best day - time to dance and drink :-) - and starting tomorrow their life will get worse and more complicated. 

Time will tell whether:
- There was a deal between the MB and SCAF to give Mr. Morsi the presidency;
- The MB will again throw the revolutionaries under the bus in their desire to strike more deals with SCAF and Felool;
- Mr. Morsi will govern from the middle or will go back to the extreme right now that he is president;
- Mr. Morsi will resign from the FJP as he promised during the elections, or this will be just another "oops we changed our mind";
- The Islamists will continue splintering or will this win reunite them;
- SCAF will make Mr. Morsi's presidency short lived;
- El-Baradei will have a role in the new government or will remain virtual;
- How the KSA and UAE will react to Mr. Morsi's win. Will they even congratulate him?;
- Mr. Morsi will be come  a new Mubarak with his pictures plastered all over Egypt and State media (Mostafa Bakry)  kissing his ass;
- SCAF will do something big this week to overshadow Morsi's (aka MB) win to remind people that they are still the real leaders;
- The impact of Mr. Morsi's win on the constituent assembly and the coming parliament elections and 
- The new president will have a real role.


In general, we see Morsi's (and the MB) future cloudy with a strong chance of severe thunderstorms.